Virginia Emergency Operations Center

Hurricane Earl

Conference Call Minutes

2 September 2010 1100 Hours

Regions I and V

National Weather Service (NWS) Wakefield: Wakefield, VA   

There has not been much change in the forecast over the last day or so.  Hurricane Earl is moving due North and it will begin to turn to the Northeast; it should not directly impact the coast of Virginia.  The storm is currently a Category 4 storm with winds around 140 mph.  Once the storm begins to encounter SW winds aloft it will weaken and accelerate.  There should not be much change in the 11 am advisory, with the exception of a potential slight shift to the East.  Hampton Roads and Eastern Shore will have winds in the 34 knot range and as the core of the storm passes by gusts could reach 50-60 mph on the immediate coastline.  The storm should not come any closer than 130-140 miles from the coast.  The core of the rainfall will remain off shore.  Hampton Roads and Eastern Shore could see over an inch of rain, but most of the other areas should see less than an inch.  90% of the Commonwealth will not receive any rain.  The storm tides will be between 1.5’ and 3’; the bulk of tidal flooding will be minor to low/moderate in the Southside Hampton Roads are and Eastern Shore.  The worst conditions are expected between 0300-0400 hours Friday through mid-afternoon.  Waves of 8-12 feet at oceanfront expected Friday morning and will drop off during the afternoon.  Rip currents and beach erosion will be a factor through Friday afternoon.